Sunday, March 30, 2008
30 MAR - 2008
Draft eligible OL Heath Benedict was found dead in Jacksonville on his couch today. No foul play is suspected. This is a sad piece of news for Benedict and his family who possibly had a third round selection ahead. One can only speculate on cause of death, but perhaps with all the training and draft preps going on, a heart related-condition prompted by supplements.
2) Pacman worth Conditional Picks?
Some back and forth regarding Pacman Jones and his possible trade to Dallas. Nothing has been finalised with some different things quoted from 5th to 7th to conditional picks. Pacman's reinstatement could have an impact on the value of the trade, which I believe is why Dallas is keen to get him know before any reinstatement is confirmed and his value rises.
3) Jets and Chiefs Mull QB Options
With Matt Ryan now possibly slipping past Atlanta, both KC and NYJ are left in interesting positions. Herm Edwards has confirmed publicly he is happy to keep Brodie Croyle as his starter, but some pundits believe Ryan is a better prospect than Croyle. The same thinking is in place with the Jets who aren't even sure if Pennington or Kellen Clemens is the guy. My thoughts are that both teams can get players who will help their team more at a different position, so are unlikely to take a QB, though both could be trade candidates for someone who doesn't want Ryan to get to Baltimore.
Pre-Draft Team Needs #1
Jacksonville -
The Jags have clear needs on the Defensive Line. With a lack of depth and youth at Defensive End, it would be ideal for Derek Harvey or Phillip Merling to fall to the Jags. Defensive tackle is also a need, with Stroud gone, so perhaps Kentwaan Balmer in the first could be an option. Many draft pundits have the Jags going OLine in the first, but with the resigning of Mo Williams, they can wait till the second or third for O Line unless one of the premier players falls into their lap. Some will suggest WR is still a need, but another WR pick cannot be afforded. Look for another safety and some LB depth to also be on the agenda.
Indianapolis -
The Colts have had some players leave over the past couple of years, so look for Linebacker to get some attention in the draft. There are plenty of speedy Cover 2 type players. Offensive Line, Running Back and Safety will also need to be addressed and there is a definite need for depth at Defensive End, with a huge drop off after Freeney and Mathis. A big tackle to anchor the middle of the D Line would also be helpful.
Houston -
Running Back and Wide Receiver sit high on the Texans needs list to boost the offense. Andre Johnson needs a legitimate threat opposite him to ensure success and some speed and youth in the backfield to cover for the aging Ahman Green and Ron Dayne can't be ignored. Many would suggest O Line as another area of need, so look for the second day to cover this. The secondary too could use some help.
Tennessee -
Plenty of gaps to fill. Wide Receiver and Defensive End are the two first round priorities for the Titans, and they should be able to pick a highly rated player at either position. Some more youth at LB and another CB to play with Finnegan and Griffin would be valuable. Offensive Line needs some second day attention as well.
Wednesday, March 26, 2008
Updated Mock Draft
1.
Dolphins would consider trading down if they had the right offer, but Long is the perfect pick in Sparano’s 34 defense if they remain.
2.
Time to find a replacement for Orlando Pace. Meet Jake Long.
3.
The Falcons need QB help but perhaps aren't sure they want to make that commitment to Matt Ryan. I would not be surprised if Ryan was the pick, but a healthy Dorsey now and a QB in the second is possible.
4.
With his speed and production, Al Davis can't resist.
5.
Needs all over the place for the Chiefs. Offensive line is definitely very high on the list and they were hoping Jake Long would get to them. A trade down would be a possibility to get one of the next tier O Linemen, but instead they stay and take the next best player.
6.
The pass rusher is too explosive to pass up for the Jets. If Matt Ryan is on the board it will be very interesting to see what they do.
7.
Two CB starters are gone and the process of replacing them starts here.
8.
Defensive help could be used, but the QB issue is urgent for the Ravens, for whom Troy Smith isn't the answer. Ravens are even more determined to use this pick on a QB with Ryan there for the taking.
9.
Free agency saw some big improvements on defense and Ellis becomes the latest.
10.
Defense is where the holes are for the Saints. Cornerback is a primary need and the Saints can get a top CB.
11.
Plenty of areas of need for the Bills. More OL help, CB, WR are all priority spots, but look for CB here.
12.
Time to give Cutler some more receiving help alongside Brandon Marshall.
13.
Panthers would seriously consider one of the Top 3 QB’s here, but in this mock, they go for a top LB to add to the unit.
14.
Endless possibilities for the Bears who need WR, RB, OL, QB help. OL is possibly the safest and the big guy from Pittsburgh gets the call.
15.
A few need areas, but RB is an immediate need for the Lions.
16.
Unsure if they will keep Edge around with his cap number, the Cards need a viable alternative. Jonathon Stewart would have been the pick if healthy. but his stock may be under consideration with this injury, so Jones gets the nod.
17.
Defensive End is a need spot for the Vikings, along with LB. Look for the Vikes to address Defensive End early. Brian Brohm on the board could be tempting for the Vikings.
18.
The signing of Chris Brown took the RB need back a round, so a target opposite Andre Johnson becomes vital and Sweed stays in state.
19.
The Eagles need another WR target and Jackson is a big play guy at WR and returning.
20.
Connor should be an immediate contributor to the Bucs. Don't discount a RB here.
21.
A pass rusher is the likely option, but the Redskins need to replace the departed Sean Taylor, and Kenny Phillips could be a candidate there, but the speedy pass rusher gets the nod after an outsanding combine workout.
22.
RB would be a chance, but the big guns are already gone. So Manningham will look to bond with Tony Romo to take over for Terry Glenn and TO.
23.
The aging Steelers OLine struggled this past season as evidenced by the Jags domination. Time to bring in some youth.
24.
WR could also be an option here, but a first round pass rusher should add plenty to the Titans who are likely to have high turnover at the position.
25.
RB is no longer a need for Seattle after their FA work, so Hasselbeck needs more help up front.
28.
D Line depth was a problem last year and Balmer is a need pick with Stroud gone. A DE could be considered here.
27.
Not too many huge needs for the Chargers. More speed and athleticism would help greatly and Phillips will be an eventual upgrade to the secondary.
28.
The Cowboys may look to trade out here if the RB isn't where they want. Otherwise, look for CB help and return help.
29.
The Niners need some youth at WR, and the big Hardy would be a good fit.
30.
The pack missed a reliable TE target and with Bubba Franks gone, here is the chance. A WR or CB could also be a chance here, but could be had next round.
*31
32.
Second Round Mock
32.
36.
37.
38.
39.
40.
41.
42.
43.
44. Detroit Lions –
45. Cincinnati Bengals – Chilo Rachal, OL, USC
47.
49.
50.
51.
52.
53.
54.
55. Green Bay – Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona
56.
57.
58.
59.
60.
61.
62. New England Patriots – Carl Nicks, OL, Nebraska
Third Round Mock
65. Miami- Donnie Avery, WR, Houston
66. St. Louis- Chad Henne, QB, Michigan
67T.
68T. Atlanta- Cliff Avril, OLB/DE, Purdue
69T. Kansas City- Xavier Adibi, LB, Virgina Tech
70.
71. Chicago- Ahtya Rubin, DT, Iowa St
72.
73. Cincinnati- Phillip Wheeler, LB, Georgia Tech
74. New York Jets-
75T. Jacksonville- Roy Scheuning, OL, Oregon St
76T.
77. Carolina- Marcus Harrison, DT, Arkansas
78T. Detroit- Chris Ellis, DE, Virginia Tech
79T. San Francisco - Red Bryant, DT, Texas A & M
80. Arizona- Anthony Collins, OL,
81. Minnesota- Thomas DeCoud, S, Cal
82. Houston- Kevin Smith, RB, UCF
83. Philadelphia-
84.
85P. Washington- Jordy Nelson, WR,
86.
87P. Seattle- John David Booty, QB, USC
88P.
89P.
90P.
91P. Chicago (SD)- Matt Forte, RB, Tulane
92P.
93P.
94P. Indianapolis- Tarvares Gooden, LB, Miami
95P. Dallas- Andre' Woodson, QB, Kentucky
Some fourth round picks to look for:
- Ali Highsmith has slid out of the top 3 rounds due to health and size/speed issues. Perhaps someone gives him a look here.
- Look for Green Bay to attack Erik Ainge, Tennessee QB in this round
- Mike Hart will be a value pickup here to a team like Indianapolis
- Buffalo must get some WR value in this round, perhaps someone like Keenan Burton of Kentucky or Jerome Simpson from Coastal Carolina
- Kansas City should look for perhaps Steve Slaton or Tashard Choice to give some help to Larry Johnson
- TE should be good value here with Rucker and Bennett for teams like Atlanta and Miami
Tuesday, March 25, 2008
26 MAR - 2008
The Houston Texans signing of former Jag Quinn Gray has meant some clutter on the Texans QB depth chart. Gray was one of the QBs that the Packers were considering, but now they may turn their attention to another Houston signed QB - Sage Rosenfels. Rosenfels has played well in all of his relief duties in Houston and Miami and figures to be an ideal candidate to compete with and backup Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay. Expect the Packers to consider using a 3/4th round pick for Rosenfels rights.
2) Falcons Cooling on QB
With so many gaps, hot word has the Falcons perhaps looking in another direction, likely DL, with Glen Dorsey. If this does happen, I think Chad Henne in the second is a big chance for the Falcons.
3) Pacman in Dallas?
It seems as though if he is reinstated that there is mutual interest in having Pacman Jones playing in Dallas next year. The Cowboys could use Pacman the player, perhaps not the person, and Pacman could use the chance. Would it be a good fit? If the right leadership can clamp down and Dallas can get a workable, incentive laden contract done for sure.
25 MAR - 2008
Terrelle Pryor has finally committed to OSU after his drawn out recruitment. After delaying the signing day announcement, Pryor suggested he wanted to make more informed decisions about potential suitors Oregon and Penn State, but amazingly he never even visited the schools. OSU seems to have gotten the nod over Michigan because a) he doesn't have to play now b) there is a chance to play BBall. Michigan will go back to the drawing board to tweak their offense to match personnel.
2) Star College Players Injured
Florida Heisman hopeful Percy Harvin has a heel injury that will keep him out of spring practice, joining Clemson RB James Davis in this regard. The duo will be heavily relied on for the Gators and Tigers respectively, and clean bills of health will be sought. Harvin is still my Heisman favourite at this point, and Davis will want a great Senior year to justify returning to school.
3) Pacman Prowling
Pacman Jones is looking for a new team. One that will take the risk. Talented yes. A no-risk pickup? Not likely. New England and Dallas could be candidates, but it will be only the right situation that delivers the results.
24 MAR - 2008
In their attempts too lure Lance Briggs to the Bay, San Francisco, it appears, have 'tampered' and as a result have been penalised by the NFL. A loss of 5th round pick and swap of third round picks is deemed the penalty. Briggs stayed in the Windy City, so the Niners obviously are hopeless at tampering. Maybe Alex Smith does their tampering!
2) Kirwan Forecasts Controversy
Pat Kirwan is tipping the Green Bay Packers to take a stab at Brian Brohm at the end of the first round in next month's draft to set up a controversy in Green Bay. For a team that is overcoming the retirement of a member of Lambeau legend, it seems not the best way to move ahead. My mock has them ignoring a QB till the 4th or 5th and bringing in a veteran to support Rogers, plus I have Brohm going earlier.
3) Marshall manhandled; will be missing
3 months is the word on the broken arm suffered by Broncos WR Brandon Marshall who broke his arm wrestling with his family members over the weekend. The Broncos WR corps are already thin, so a healthy Marshall is a must.
Wednesday, March 19, 2008
19 MAR - 2008
Watching his interview on NFL Network, he is an odd character and gets odd responses out of his interviewers. Talking in the third person, getting them to talk in the third person. At the end of it, I got the feeling he was saying trade me or I walk away from the game. You know there are teams keen. Philadelphia should get on that phone and call to offer their #1 for him now. Heck, any team with a WR in a first round need, should be buzzing the Bengals.
2) Hall all but a Raider
On again, off again, on again. A huge deal should be consumated by Thursday giving the Raiders one of the deepest and best secondaries in the NFL. Look for the Falcons to get good value for the draft picks in return.
3) 3Point Stance Easter Hiaitus
3PS will return after the Easter Long weekend. Safe travelling to all, back with more soon.
Tuesday, March 18, 2008
17 MAR - 2008
No deal! At least not yet between Atlanta and Oakland. Will it end up being done? Who knows. Maybe it will. Maybe other options enter the mix. Jacksonville, Washington and Dallas are currently being mentioned as possible destinations, but who knows. There isn't any immediate hurry, but one place or another, Hall is on the way out of Atlanta.
2) WRs Moving
DJ Hackett, the remaining FA Wide Receiver will take over as the #2 wideout in Carolina after agreeing to a two-year deal. Washington was looming as the likely landing placed, but the Panthers ensured there was some options opposite Steve Smith. Keeping in Seattle, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Seahawks re-sign Darrell Jackson after he was traded away to the 49ers and subsequently cut after one year. The Seahawks have room for another after Hackett's exit. Taking over for Darrell Jackson will be Bryant Johnson who was possibly the best #3 WR in the NFL playing in Arizona behind two useful players Boldin and Fitzgerald.
3) Jets Keep Signing
Bubba Franks is the latest FA pickup for the Jets, and a solid acquisition. Franks is a past pro-bowler and is still just 30yo, so with some tread left on the tyres. He has had some injury worries, but should be a useful player for the Jets and whoever gets the starting QB job.
Monday, March 17, 2008
16 MAR - 2008
The latest word is teams are near on compensation to send D'Angelo Hall from the Falcons to teh Raiders. This would give the Raiders an amazing CB tandem with Asomugha. A 2nd and 6th round pick is what I am hearing as compensation, but I don't know why Atlanta wouldn't ask to include either Fabian Washington or Stanford Routt in the package as well. They will need CB's and surely their value reduces with Hall on the Raiders roster.
2) Manningham Makes his Move
Quick to silence critics, Mario Manningham went out and ran in the 4.4's at the Michigan Pro Day. Welcome to the middle of the first round Mario! Perhaps he will learn in future that preparing to run the combine drills is vital.
3) Brunell a Saint
Mark Brunell keeps his career going in New Orleans after signing on to be Drew Brees caddy. Brunell was considered a chance to land back in Green Bay (where he started his career), but perhaps the warmer climate was the deciding factor.
Thursday, March 13, 2008
Updated Mock Draft
1.
Dolphins would consider trading down if they had the right offer, but Long is the perfect pick in Sparano’s 34 defense if they remain.
2.
Time to find a replacement for Orlando Pace. Meet Jake Long.
3.
The Falcons need QB help and Ryan is the top QB. McFadden would be considered, but Ryan is the premier QB and second round won't provide immediate help, whereas it might with RBs.
4.
With his speed and production, Al Davis can't resist.
5.
Needs all over the place for the Chiefs. Offensive line is definitely very high on the list and they were hoping Jake Long would get to them. A trade down would be a possibility to get one of the next tier O Linemen, but instead, Glen Dorsey helps greatly on the D Line.
6.
The pass rusher is too explosive to pass up for the Jets.
7.
Two CB starters are gone and the process of replacing them starts here.
8.
Defensive help could be used, but the QB issue is urgent for the Ravens, for whom Troy Smith isn't the answer. A strong combine should solidify this pick.
9.
Free agency saw some big improvements on defense and Ellis becomes the latest.
10.
Defense is where the holes are for the Saints. Cornerback is a primary need and the Saints can get a top CB.
11.
Plenty of areas of need for the Bills. More OL help, CB, WR are all priority spots, but look for CB here.
12.
Time to give Cutler some more receiving help alongside Brandon Marshall.
13.
Panthers would seriously consider one of the Top 3 QB’s here, but in this mock, they go for a top LB to add to the unit.
14.
Endless possibilities for the Bears who need WR, RB, OL, QB help. OL is possibly the safest and the big guy from Pittsburgh gets the call.
15.
A few need areas, but RB has become a priority with only Tatum Bell on the roster of any note.
16.
Unsure if they will keep Edge around with his cap number, the Cards need a viable alternative. Jonathon Stewart would have been the pick if healthy. but his stock may be under consideration with this injury, so Jones gets the nod.
17.
Defensive End is a need spot for the Vikings, along with LB. Look for the Vikes to address Defensive End early.
18.
The signing of Chris Brown took the RB need back a round, so a target opposite Andre Johnson becomes vital and Sweed stays in state.
19.
The Eagles need another WR target and Jackson is a big play guy at WR and returning.
20.
Connor should be an immediate contributor to the Bucs. Don't discount a RB here.
21.
A pass rusher is the likely option, but the Redskins need to replace the departed Sean Taylor, and Kenny Phillips could be a candidate there, but the speedy pass rusher gets the nod after an outsanding combine workout.
22.
RB would be a chance, but the big guns are already gone. So Manningham will look to bond with Tony Romo to take over for Terry Glenn and TO.
23.
The aging Steelers OLine struggled this past season as evidenced by the Jags domination. Time to bring in some youth.
24.
WR could also be an option here, but a first round pass rusher should add plenty to the Titans who are likely to have high turnover at the position.
25.
RB is no longer a need for Seattle after their FA work, so Hasselbeck needs more help up front.
28.
D Line depth was a problem last year and Balmer is a need pick with Stroud gone. A DE could be considered here.
27.
Not too many huge needs for the Chargers. More speed and athleticism would help greatly and Phillips will be an eventual upgrade to the secondary.
28.
The Cowboys may look to trade out here if the RB isn't where they want. Otherwise, look for CB help and return help.
29.
The Niners need some youth at WR, and the big Hardy would be a good fit.
30.
The pack missed a reliable TE target and with Bubba Franks gone, here is the chance. A WR or CB could also be a chance here, but could be had next round.
*31
32.
Second Round Mock
32.
36.
37.
38.
39.
40.
41.
42.
43.
44. Detroit Lions –
45. Cincinnati Bengals – Chilo Rachal, OL, USC
47.
49.
50.
51.
52.
53.
54.
55. Green Bay – Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona
56.
57.
58.
59.
60.
61.
62. New England Patriots – Carl Nicks, OL, Nebraska
Third Round Mock
65. Miami- Donnie Avery, WR, Houston
66. St. Louis- Joe Flacco, QB, Delaware
67T.
68T. Atlanta- Cliff Avril, OLB/DE, Purdue
69T. Kansas City- Erin Henderson, LB, Maryland
70.
71. San Francisco- Ahtya Rubin, DT, Iowa St
72.
73. Cincinnati- Phillip Wheeler, LB, Georgia Tech
74. New York Jets-
75T. Jacksonville- Roy Scheuning, OL, Oregon St
76T.
77. Carolina- Marcus Harrison, DT, Arkansas
78T. Detroit- Chris Ellis, DE, Virginia Tech
79T. Chicago- Red Bryant, DT, Texas A & M
80. Arizona- Anthony Collins, OL,
81. Minnesota- Thomas DeCoud, S, Cal
82. Houston- Jamaal Charles, RB, Texas
83. Philadelphia-
84.
85P. Washington- Jordy Nelson, WR,
86.
87P. Seattle- John David Booty, QB, USC
88P.
89P.
90P.
91P. Chicago (SD)- Matt Forte, RB, Tulane
92P.
93P.
94P. Indianapolis- Tarvares Gooden, LB, Miami
95P. Dallas- Trae Williams, CB, South Florida
Some fourth round picks to look for:
- Andre' Woodson has slid to the fourth, look for him to get a look somewhere, probably Chicago in this round
- Look for Green Bay to attack Erik Ainge, Tennessee QB in this round
- Mike Hart will be a value pickup here to a team like Indianapolis
- Buffalo must get some WR value in this round, perhaps someone like Keenan Burton of Kentucky or Jerome Simpson from Coastal Carolina
- Kansas City should look for perhaps Steve Slaton or Tashard Choice to give some help to Larry Johnson
- TE should be good value here with Rucker and Bennett for teams like Atlanta and Miami
13 MAR - 2008
Talk last post about a Jonathon Stewart foot injury has turned out to be true. Stewart elected to have surgery today in attempts to be more season ready and training camp ready. How will this affect his stock. A little I would say. Still a first round talent, though teams who were making decisions about whether to nab him in first round, or take another position and address RB in the second, may do so.
2) RB Situation in Detroit
Detroit cut Kevin Jones only a few years after making him a First Round pick. Jones was having a good early career, but injuries have limited him. Expect Jones to garner some interest in places like Chicago or Buffalo. Detroit now seem to have firmly climbed Rb up the needs chart and first round may be a possibility. With Seattle out of the first round RB market, look for Detroit to pick up the slack. Houston may opt to use a second or third rounder on a RB instead of a first after signing Chris Brown, the former Titan.
3) NFL.com Following My Lead
Every mock draft I have staged has had Jake Long going to St Louis. Most other pundits have had Chris Long or Glen Dorsey going the Rams way. But now the word is Rams brass have been meeting with Jake Long in Ann Arbor trying to get a feel for him. Remember where you saw it first. Speaking of mock drafts, a new one will be online today with a few changes.
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
12 MAR - 2008
Former Texan, Panther and #1 overall pick David Carr has officially signed with New York Giants in a $1million deal plus incentives. He is reunited with his former coach Chris Palmer (from the Texan days). There is talk that Carr will compete with Jared Lorenzon for the backup spot. As long as it isn't a pie-eating competition, then Carr would have a chance. The expression 'eat him for breakfast' may not be too far stretched for Lorenzen who weighs in almost 280lbs. Him and JaMarcus Russell should definitely be having an eating challenge. Perhaps both are the answer for the O line troubles. Either way, Carr should be able to assume the #2 job by training camp.
2) Stewart Injury Questions
Is it boredom creeping in that fills our pages with draft doubt? The latest buzz is a toe injury for Jonathon Stewart. Some whispers have the Oregon back potentially needing surgery on the toe. His 4.4 combine made me feel ok about his toe. The cynic in me says it was start by a team drafting in the 20's hoping for a chance to get him.
3) Saints Banking on Injured Linebackers
In Jonathon Vilma and Dan Morgan, New Orleans has acquired two of the best potential middle linebackers in the game. The question is - can they stay healthy? Dan Morgan gets a concussion in a pillow fight and Vilma got his knees from the public health system, so can either of them be relied on? I really like the moves as if either of them works out, the price for them combined is reasonable. If they both do, the Saints should see a huge improvement. Now all they need is to get one of the top 2 CB's in the draft to compete again for a NFC Championship spot.
Monday, March 10, 2008
11 MAR -2008
As suggested earlier on this blog, Quinn Gray, the former jags backup QB is getting a look in Green Bay as the backup to Aaron Rodgers. The matchup makes sense and is probably a safe bet for the Pack. Gray is also being courted by Oakland who would be keen for Gray to backup JaMarcus Russell. Not sure which option is better for Gray, but both are good situations, and perhaps Green Bay offers hope of more playing time with Aaron Rodgers and his propensity for injury.
2) Carr Back on a Roster
Prior to last season I made some bold claims about David Carr and what he could do in a new environment. I was advocated Minnesota as a good destination pre-draft but ultimately he ended in Carolina where I still thought he had a shot. Well, I was wrong. But maybe as backup to Eli Manning in NY is the place for Carr. Coughlin has had great success with QB's and maybe can get some stability for the former #1 overall pick. This would give the Giants to #1 overall Qb's on the roster.
3) Gholston Still Rising
After tearing it up at his pro day the momentum has continued for Gholston who had private workouts with the Dolphins and Jets. Many have considered the Jets as a good fit and possible destination, but the #1 overall pick? That would be huge.
10 MAR - 2008
It is a theme common this off-season, players returning to clubs that had previously cut or traded them. Warrick Dunn (Tampa) and Trent Green (St Louis) are the two most recent players to do this, following on from Jevon Kearse among others. Notable is that all are relatively late in their careers and probably less likely to command the money they once sought or could get on the open market.
2) Seattle Signings Signal Shakeup
Look for the next mock draft to take Seattle out of the rookie RB sweepstakes. Already the backfield is overly crowded, don't expect an early pick for the Seahawks in the backfield. Now they can look to add perhaps a guy like Kenny Phillips if he is aviailable or more likely an offensive lineman. There is a chance a third round pick could go on a RB. How bout a wildcard pick - if Brian Brohm is available at the bottom of the first, the time could be now to start grooming the replacement to Matt Hasselbeck.
3) Manningham Moving
Such is the stock put into the 40 yard dash, I have seen plenty of draft 'experts' have Manningham fall out of the first round. I don't see it. Watch him on film, then draft him. Plus who knows what he will run at his Pro Day. If someone late first or early second is lucky enough to get him, then he can make someone look silly.
Sunday, March 9, 2008
9 MAR - 2008
Next year's group of prospective QB's in the draft isn't spectacular. There don't appear to be many senior QB's primed for the top pickings, and I am guessing multiple juniors will stay at school. Perhaps one with plenty to gain from a big year is Rudy Carpenter at ASU. A strong year would sit him well, particularly if the likes of Matthew Stafford and Colt McCoy stay for their senior year. Perhaps a Cullen Harper-type guy could emerge as a legit candidate, but a bigger body of work would be needed. Chase Daniel will be hoping for another big year, but his height isn't ideal. This should help the likes of Henne, Flacco and Ainge this draft.
2) QB Controversies
Are there any brewing? Who is the guy in Jet town? Is it Pennington or Clemens? Is it really open competition between Grossman and Orton in Chicago? JP Losman vs Trent Edwards in Buffalo. Will Leinart get his 100% control in Arizona or will Warner still linger.
3) Walsh To Talk
All this talk about spygate and maybe now it seems Roger Goodell will go straight to the source to find out. Matt Walsh was a reluctant (but somehow also willing) informant with the Patriots camp and the truth is being sought. Who knows what else will be revealed, the question is how much can and will be done about it.
Saturday, March 8, 2008
8 MAR - 2008
He is now at the end of his 1 year suspension and Pacman continues to talk. Now he is talking about coming back to play, although he is publicly stating a preference to play in Dallas. The Titans still have his rights, so a trade would need to be worked out. What is Pacman's value now? The Titans have every right to be firm in the requests, but realise the sooner they move on the better. I would say a third round pick would satisfy the Titans, who could use the pick to add some depth to the position.
2) Dorsey's Injury Crucial
The status of Glen Dorsey's injury will be huge in this coming draft. A top 5 talent, but with this cloud hanging, One has to consider whether or not all the talk is coming from teams in the bottom half of the top ten keen to have Dorsey slide to them. I have him at 12 in my current mock, based purely on some doubt. There is too much money at stake to miss on a top ten pick. Although some team could get lucky if he is clear and slides to them.
3) Larry Fitzgerald Contract Concerns
Who sets up a contract to pay a young WR $16million? That is only the sort of contract you would back-end for someone who is never going to see the payday. How can Arizona let it get to this point before restructuring? No wonder teams are calling on the Cards about a trade, the sharks are circling, even though Arizona says they will just wear the hit if needed.
Friday, March 7, 2008
7 MAR - 2008
No draft picks in the first three rounds for the Browns means a pretty laid back experience. The busy start to the free agency period accounted for much of the energy after knowing Brady Quinn was the player picked in their trade of first round picks with Shaun Rogers and Corey Williams the second and third rounders. Still some needs to address for depth at CB and in the backfield. Not sure if they will get big difference makers in the lower rounds, but that is where things sit at the moment. For the Rb spots, look for the Browns to follow progress in Seattle, where it appears things are crowded or perhaps Warrick Dunn.
2) Seattle Features Loaded Backfield
Shaun Alexander, Maurice Morris, TJ Duckett and Julius Jones. Quite a stable of backs. Problem is, not all can remain. My money is on Shaun Alexander to exit the team where he was the NFL rushing champ after a couple of down years. Injury concerns also linger over Alexander. There wasn't a trade market for him after his league leading season, so there won't be one now.
3) Inactive FA Teams
The Redskins have been surprisingly quiet in Free Agency, a big change from previous years. Kansas City and Indianapolis have also been non-factors and Baltimore has been quiet. Fans love to see action on their rosters and these teams have been taking it very easy. The Chiefs really could have been more active with some large roster gaps, particularly on the O Line. Time will tell.
Wednesday, March 5, 2008
6 MAR - 2008
Joey Harrington was cut today by the Atlanta Falcons. Expect the Packers to make a run at him to back up Aaron Rodgers. With Harrington available right at this time, it makes perfect sense. This solidifies my view that Matt Ryan will go to the Falcons.
2) First Round Mock Changes
Check out the new first round after Free Agency signings and reevaluations of need.
3) Joe Staley = #7 Pick
The 49ers traded their 2008 first rounder to climb back into last year's first round to grab offensive tackle Joe Staley. Staley had a big year for the niners as a rookie, but now the value of that pick is #7 overall. SF must be wondering if the move was worth it? Only time will tell.
5 MAR - 2008
Noone is 100% sold on Aaron Rodgers it seems, but he will be the guy in the toughest job going for the 2008 season. Will there be draft interest for the Packers at QB? My thought is yes, but only a later round guy, someone in the 5th round. I would keep my eye on Erik Ainge out of Tennessee or maybe even Colt Brennan. Rodgers looked strong in his relief role against the Cowboys, but one has to wonder if someone like Chad Henne is on the board in the second round whether or not the Packers contemplate it. If JD Booty is on the board in the 4th, I would think he could get the nod. The Packers will surely look for a veteran in Free Agency, so expect someone like Gus Frerotte, Mark Brunell or any of the Bucs QB's who are released to get a look. A young QB like ex-Jag Quinn Gray may also be considered.
2) Dolphins facing Long wait
Either way it will be a Long taken by the Dolphins. I don't buy into the Matt Ryan interest, surely they are just playing up for prospective trade partners, but with a team having so many holes, first round isn't where QB is going now for the Dolphins.
3) Gruden Stockpiling QB's again
Anyone who thought Gruden had a pile of QB's already must be amazed that they continue to add to the collection, with 5 now on the roster, plus the rights to Jake Plummer. My thought is Chris Simms becomes available and would be of value to some teams.
Tuesday, March 4, 2008
4 MAR - 2008
Most of the big moves have been made in Free Agency, so with scouts aware of what they need in the draft, focus turns back to campus. Some players will separate themselves from the pack with a great Pro Day, others will try to make up for a disappointing combine. We soon get a real idea of what Miami is planning.
2) Another first rounder to the Jags
Jacksonville has added former First Round DT Jimmy Kennedy to its team after the Bears didn't match the offer. This presents a great opportunity for Kennedy who didn't live up to expectations. The Jags, with only a $705000 1 year deal don't stand to lose much if it goes wrong. They can get a year of depth until a longer term solution is presented.
3) All Quiet on the Disgruntled Players Front
CHad Johnson and D'Angelo Hall haven't even had their name mentioned. Does that mean they have calmed and accepted a return to their clubs? Who knows, but draft day may still see some movement.
4) Favre Farewell
It seems only fair that one of the greats gets his own #4 item. After 17 years Favre is packing it in, suggesting he is tired. My pet hate at the moment is all the writers who are claiming he and the Packers will regret him retiring now. Where were those writers 2 years ago after Favre had a less than stellar season? Begging him to retire I am sure. The reality is the Packers were always going to regret when Favre retired, how can you replace him (just ask the Dolphins about replacing a legend). Aaron Rodgers finally gets his shot, and he should be well prepared, but it is a tough ask. So his final pass was an NFC Championship Game INT that lead to a Giants win. That won't be his legacy.
Monday, March 3, 2008
3 MAR - 2008
He may have played the field for more $$$, but Randy Moss returned to New England as expected. There was talk of the Eagles and Packers as prime contenders, but the reality was that Moss was never moving on.
2) Jets take flight
After Cleveland's early strong FA showing it has been the Jets who have made big moves. The Jets added to Pro Bowl OT's in Faneca and now Damien Woody, who is getting on, but should be a help on the right side. The Jets already of course took Kris Jenkins from Carolina to be the nose tackle in the 3-4 and are still shipping current DT Dewayne Robertson, for whom Cincinnati appear to be giving a 3rd round pick. The Jets also spent big on OLB Calvin Pace who should be a rush LB specialist for their defense. Mangini though still has plenty of questions. 1) Who is the QB of the future? Is Pennington still the guy or is it time to hand over to Kellen Clemens. Is Clemens the guy? 2) Who is catching the passes? The Jets need some help in the draft and must be considering Javon Walker if he is fit. 3) Can the secondary handle the heat?
3) Marcus Thomas = Fool, Denver Drafting him = more foolish
He was kicked out of Florida due to off-field dramas, particularly related to drugs. His first round talent was a big risk so he fell to the third round. Now a cocaine and weapons arrest looks to have ended his time in Denver. What is it with the Broncos at risky third rounds. Anyone remember Maurice Clarett?
Sunday, March 2, 2008
Updated 3 Round Mock
1.
Dolphins would consider trading down if they had the right offer, but Long is the perfect pick in Sparano’s 34 defense if they remain.
2.
Time to find a replacement for Orlando Pace. Meet Jake Long.
3.
The Falcons need QB help and Ryan is the top QB. McFadden would be considered, but Ryan is the premier QB and second round won't provide immediate help, whereas it might with RBs.
4.
With his speed and production, Al Davis can't resist.
5.
Needs all over the place for the Chiefs. Offensive line is definitely very high on the list and they were hoping Jake Long would get to them. The Chiefs could probably have any of the second tier tackles 10 picks later, so trading down, especially with McFadden on the board, is a possibility.
6.
The big nose tackle will be a good fit for the Jets.
7.
Two CB starters are gone and the process of replacing them starts here.
8.
Defensive help could be used, but the QB issue is urgent for the RAvens, for whom Troy Smith isn't the answer. A strong combine should solidify this pick.
9.
Free agency saw some big improvements on defense and Gholston becomes the latest.
10.
Defense is where the holes are for the Saints. Cornerback is a primary need and the Saints can get a top CB.
11.
Another target for the Bills passing game is a must here. A CB could also be useful.
12.
It is astonishing to see Dorsey still here at this spot. With the FA moves and Baltimore needing a QB, a 4-3 DT falls to here.
13.
Panthers would seriously consider one of the Top 3 QB’s here, but in this mock, they go for a top LB to add to the unit.
14.
Bears still looking for a franchise QB, but with Brohm off the board, there isn't a likely pick. Look for them to go for Henne in the second round. Instead they need a WR and without Berrian they need Sweed who is a dependable guy.
15.
CB would be a chance here, but the OL needs work.
16.
Unsure if they will keep Edge around with his cap number, the Cards need a viable alternative. Mendenhall is an every down back and in a Whisenhunt system should start as a rookie.
17.
Defensive End is a need spot for the Vikings, along with LB. Look for the Vikes to address Defensive End early.
18.
A RB here is a perfect fit of best player and need. WR is also a chance.
19.
The Eagles need another WR target and Jackson is a big play guy at WR and returning.
20.
Connor should be an immediate contributor to the Bucs. Don't discount a RB here.
21.
A pass rusher is the likely option, but the Redskins need to replace the departed Sean Taylor, and Kenny Phillips could be a candidate there, but the speedy pass rusher gets the nod after an oustanding combine workout.
22.
Terry Glenn and TO are getting old and have had their injury problems. Manningham heads to Texas
23.
The aging Steelers OLine struggled this past season as evidenced by the Jags domination. Time to bring in some youth.
24.
WR could also be an option here, but a first round pass rusher should add plenty to the Titans who are likely to have high turnover at the position.
25.
TE could be an option here, but Shaun Alexander is aging and here is a chance to draft his replacement, the standout runner from the Pac-10.
28.
D Line depth was a problem last year and Balmer is a need pick with Stroud gone. A DE could be considered here.
27.
Not too many huge needs for the Chargers. More speed and athleticism would help greatly and Phillips will be an eventual upgrade to the secondary.
28.
If one of the top RB's falls to them, look for them to make them the choice. Instead, it is a Safety or CB need, so the Cowboys go CB with the small school star, with a move for Anthony Henry to Safety.
29.
The Niners get a great hands guy and a big target WR for whoever is QB.
30.
The pack missed a reliable TE target and with Bubba Franks gone, here is the chance. A WR or RB could also be a chance here, but could be had next round.
*31
32.
Second Round Mock
32.
36.
37.
38.
39.
40.
41.
42.
43.
44. Detriot Lions –
45. Cincinnati Bengals – Sam Baker, OL, USC
47.
49.
50.
51.
52.
53.
54.
55. Green Bay – Antoine Cason, CB, Arizona
56.
57.
58.
59.
60.
61.
62. New England Patriots – Joe Flacco, QB, Delaware
Third Round Mock
65. Miami- Shawn Crable, LB,
66. St. Louis- Chris Ellis, DE, Virginia Tech
67T.
68T. Atlanta- Jermichael Finley, TE,
69T. Kansas City- Mike McGlynn, OL,
70.
71. San Francisco- Ahtya Rubin, DT, Iowa St
72.
73. Cincinnati- Phillip Wheeler, LB, Georgia Tech
74. New York Jets-
75T. Jacksonville- Roy Scheuning, OL, Oregon St
76T.
77. Carolina- Andre Woodson, QB,
78T. Detroit- Red Bryant, DT, Texas A & M
79T. Chicago- Marcus Harrison, DT, Arkansas
80. Arizona- Anthony Collins, OL,
81. Minnesota- Thomas DeCoud, S, Cal
82. Houston- Donnie Avery, WR, Houston
83. Philadelphia- Trae Williams, CB,
84.
85P. Washington- Jordy Nelson, WR,
86.
87P. Seattle- John David Booty, QB, USC
88P.
89P.
90P.
91P. Chicago (SD)- Heath Benedict, OL, Newbury
92P.
93P.
94P. Indianapolis- Matt Forte, RB, Tulane
95P. Dallas- Adarius Bowman, WR,
2 MAR - 2008
This free agency period has seen unprecedented movement of defensive tackles. Stroud, Rogers, Williams and Robertson have all been traded this period so far. That suggests what has already been identified - that the DT crop in the draft isn't deep. Some teams have definitely met their needs (Cleveland and Cincinatti) and some now have needs - Jacksonville, Detroit. Neither are expected to have a pick high enough to land the top to DT's although Kentwan Balmer may be a chance.
2) Dunn in Atlanta
As the Falcons signed Michael Turner, the end is near for veteran Warwick Dunn. Dunn should get some play for a team look for depth at RB, but he is unlikely to get a starting spot. Where might be land? How about San Diego who are no looking for more depth behind LT. Or Chicago who are hoping for more options beyond Cedric Benson, or perhaps Buffalo. Turner in Atlanta removes them from the McFadden picture.
3) Cleveland a Superbowl Contender?
That is some of the buzz after their outstanding free agency period. With some offensive weapons and a host of improvements to the defense, the Browns should improve on their 10 win season. Just how far will they improve? I expect a playoff berth at least.